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Disclaimer

Last updated June 12, 2026

Not betting or financial advice

Fight Detective publishes statistical models, probabilities and historical analysis of UFC fights for entertainment and informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is betting advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to place any wager. Labels such as “Strong Bet”, “Bet”, “Lean” and “Skip” describe model output categories — not instructions.

No guarantee of accuracy or results

All accuracy figures, ROI calculations and backtests on this site are historical, out-of-sample model results. Past performance does not predict future results. Mixed martial arts is inherently unpredictable; any model will be wrong often. Probabilities can be affected by data errors, late fight changes, withdrawals, missed weight, and other factors outside the model’s knowledge.

Gambling risk

If you choose to bet, you do so entirely at your own risk and you can lose money. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Sports betting is age-restricted and is not legal in all jurisdictions — you are responsible for complying with the laws where you live. If gambling stops being fun, seek help: in the US call or text the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER; elsewhere, contact your local problem-gambling service.

No affiliation

Fight Detective is an independent project. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by UFC®, Zuffa LLC, or any sportsbook. Fighter names and fight data are used for identification and statistical analysis of public sporting events.

Questions

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