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All Fighters
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Santiago Ponzinibbio

12W · 9L
Orthodox
Welterweight
Catch Weight
58% finish rate69% as favorite38% as underdog
57%wins
1478
ELO Rating

Fighter analysis

AI-assisted editorial grounded in Fight Detective’s stored fight and ELO data.

Fighting style and career analysis

Fight Analysis: Style, Trends, and Outcomes

The snapshot points to a welterweight whose UFC results frequently hinge on striking outcomes. Ponzinibbio lands 4.78 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.68, indicating high exchange rates and comparatively narrow margins in many stand-up minutes. With a 61% significant-strike defense rate, the data suggests he can limit incoming volume at times, but he is still involved in fights where both athletes are landing. Finishing tendencies are evident in the record: the career summary credits him with 7 knockout wins and 4 knockout losses. In the listed bouts, several of his wins come by KO/TKO (including Round 1, Round 3, and a Round 4 finish), while several losses also come by KO/TKO, including multiple third-round stoppages. That pattern supports an inference of meaningful late-fight volatility in some matchups, though the snapshot alone does not explain whether that stems from pace, durability, or tactical risk. Grappling output appears secondary. His listed takedown average is 0.6 with a 71% takedown defense rate, and the snapshot shows a submission average of 0. Based on those numbers, a careful inference is that his game is typically oriented around striking exchanges rather than sustained grappling control. Recent form in the provided log includes both stoppage wins and losses plus multiple split decisions, reflecting competitive fights and outcome swings within the current sample.

Strengths

  • High striking activity (SLpM 4.78) consistent with a busy stand-up approach
  • Proven ability to finish fights by KO/TKO across early and later rounds
  • Solid listed takedown defense (71%), which can help keep fights standing

Weaknesses

  • Near-parity between strikes landed and absorbed (4.78 vs 4.68) suggests tight stand-up margins
  • Multiple KO/TKO losses in the record indicate exposure in striking exchanges
  • Low takedown volume (TD avg 0.6) suggests limited reliance on offensive wrestling in this dataset
Data notes
  • The snapshot does not provide round-by-round statistics, knockdown counts, or control time to explain *how* exchanges are being won or lost
  • Some fight outcomes listed are decisions, but the career_summary decision totals do not align with that log, limiting precision on finishing vs decision rates
Generated Jul 23, 2026, 1:43 AM UTCData captured Jul 23, 2026, 1:42 AM UTCPublished Jul 23, 2026, 1:43 AM UTC
Fight Detective engine profile

Fight Detective Engine Profile: ELO and Stat Snapshot

Fight Detective lists Santiago Ponzinibbio with a current ELO of 1493.7 in the welterweight weight class. In this context, ELO is a rating that summarizes results over time into a single number: higher ratings generally reflect stronger recent and overall outcomes within the tracked pool, while changes up or down reflect wins and losses against rated opponents. The snapshot flags his momentum as “stable,” meaning the model is not indicating a sharp upward or downward trend at the time of the update. His peak ELO is recorded as 1502.2 (dated 2025-01-11), which is close to his current mark, suggesting his rating has hovered in a relatively narrow band around that peak since then. The profile also records 20 total fights with a 12–8 record and a last fight date of 2025-05-03. On the statistical side, the snapshot shows a high-tempo striking profile: 4.78 significant strikes landed per minute and 4.68 absorbed per minute, with 61% striking defense. Grappling indicators are modest offensively (0.6 takedowns per 15 minutes; 0 submissions per 15) with a 71% takedown defense rate. Taken together, the data supports a picture of a fighter whose measurable identity is driven more by striking volume and defense than by submission-based grappling. Because ELO is a summary metric, it should be read alongside the underlying record and available fight log rather than as a standalone guarantee of performance.

Strengths

  • ELO near peak (1493.7 current vs 1502.2 peak) indicates a broadly steady rating level in the model
  • High SLpM (4.78) supports sustained output in striking phases
  • Listed takedown defense (71%) is a positive indicator for resisting opponent takedowns

Weaknesses

  • High SAPM (4.68) alongside high SLpM points to frequent exchanges and potential defensive exposure
  • Zero listed submissions per 15 minutes suggests limited submission finishing in the captured stats
Data notes
  • ELO is supplied by Fight Detective; it is not recalculated here and should not be treated as a precise prediction for any single fight
  • The recent-fights list is incomplete relative to total fights, and the career_summary decision totals conflict with the logged decisions, which limits confidence in exact outcome breakdowns
  • No current rank is provided, and opponent ratings/context for ELO changes are not included in this snapshot
Generated Jul 23, 2026, 1:43 AM UTCData captured Jul 23, 2026, 1:42 AM UTCELO updated Jul 20, 2026, 3:05 PM UTCPublished Jul 23, 2026, 1:59 AM UTC

Fighter overview

ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

1478.0Developing

Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified

Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →

Age

39
Sep 26, 1986

Height

6'0" (182.88 cm)

Reach

185.42 cm

Win Rate

57.1%

Output & Defense

Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)

Strikes landed / min
4.78
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
4.68
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.10
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
61%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
0.60
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
71%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.00
Sub_Avg
High-volume strikerElusive striker

Head-to-Head Comparison

Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side

Career statistics

Career Averages (per fight)

19.1
Sig. Strikes
0.4
Takedowns
0.0
Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO7 (58%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO5 (56%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

69%

9W – 4L in 13 fights

As Underdog

38%

3W – 5L in 8 fights

ELO analysis

ELO Trajectory

Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details

Cont.Mid14701483149515081478Sep 14Apr 16Dec 17Dec 21Jul 24Jul 26
WinLossDrawCurrent ELO

Elo Changes

Rating gained or lost in each fight

lost to Sam Patterson
Jul 25, 2026
-16.11478
lost to Daniel Rodriguez
May 3, 2025
-8.01494
def. Carlston Harris
Jan 11, 2025
+7.21502
lost to Muslim Salikhov
Jul 13, 2024
-3.91495
lost to Kevin Holland
Apr 8, 2023
-2.01499
def. Alex Morono
Dec 10, 2022
+1.91501
lost to Michel Pereira
May 21, 2022
-0.91499
lost to Geoff Neal
Dec 11, 2021
-0.71500
def. Miguel Baeza
Jun 5, 2021
+0.51501
lost to Li Jingliang
Jan 16, 2021
-0.51500
def. Neil Magny
Nov 17, 2018
+0.21500
def. Mike Perry
Dec 16, 2017
+0.11500
def. Gunnar Nelson
Jul 16, 2017
+0.11500
def. Nordine Taleb
Feb 19, 2017
0.01500
def. Zak Cummings
Aug 6, 2016
0.01500
def. Court McGee
Apr 16, 2016
0.01500
def. Andreas Stahl
Dec 10, 2015
0.01500
lost to Lorenz Larkin
Jun 27, 2015
0.01500
def. Sean Strickland
Feb 22, 2015
0.01500
def. Wendell Oliveira
Sep 13, 2014
0.01500
lost to Ryan LaFlare
Nov 9, 2013
0.01500

Division ELO Rankings

Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill

#1Uros Medic
1566
#2Carlos Prates
1565
#6Mike Malott
1550
#10Ty Miller
1546

Showing top 10 of 85 active fighters · Full rankings →

Professional fight history

Fight History (21 fights)

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
Welterweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 2View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 3, 2025
Welterweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Welterweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Welterweight
Loss
S-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 8, 2023
Welterweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Dec 10, 2022
Catch Weight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Welterweight
Loss
S-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Welterweight
Loss
S-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 5, 2021
Welterweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · Jan 16, 2021
Welterweight
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Nov 17, 2018
Welterweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 4View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · Dec 16, 2017
Welterweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 16, 2017
Welterweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Feb 19, 2017
Welterweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · Aug 6, 2016
Welterweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · Apr 16, 2016
Welterweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Dec 10, 2015
Welterweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · Jun 27, 2015
Welterweight
Loss
KO/TKO · Rnd 2View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · Feb 22, 2015
Welterweight
Win
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · Sep 13, 2014
Welterweight
Win
KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · Nov 9, 2013
Welterweight
Loss
U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →