Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews threatens submissions; Vagner Rocha has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Vagner Rocha threatens submissions; Jake Matthews has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25 Vagner Rocha
oldest →L
vs Donald Cerrone · Jun 11W
SUBvs Cody McKenzie · Sep 11L
KOvs Jonathan Brookins · Feb 12 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake MatthewsVagner Rocha
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Vagner Rocha(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +32.5|Blue -32.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -864.0|Blue +864.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage