Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · Decision R3
Elo1496
Elo1508
Kevin HollandvsRandy Brown
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(57.0%)
Scouting Report
- Randy Brown has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Randy Brown
—
Vegas Odds
—
1496
1508
33
36
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'3"
6'3"
205.74 cm
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Kevin Holland
oldest →
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25
latestRandy Brown
oldest →
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Kevin HollandMetricRandy Brown
4.24
Strikes / min
4.39
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
50%
Strike defense
53%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.71
57%
Takedown defense
74%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Kevin HollandRandy Brown
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21