Ryan BadervsRogerio Nogueira

UFC Event · Saturday, November 19, 2016 · Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil

Model Prediction: Ryan Bader wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Ryan Bader wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Ryan Bader

Red Corner

Rogerio Nogueira

Blue Corner

-340

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+280

(26%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

25.8

Sig. Strikes

28.9

2.2

Takedowns

0.1

0.3

Sub Attempts

0.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+78.2-78.2

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-112.0112.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

Ryan Bader

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16

Rogerio Nogueira

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12