Stephen ThompsonvsGabriel Bonfim

UFC Event · Saturday, July 12, 2025 · Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Gabriel Bonfim wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Gabriel Bonfim wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Stephen Thompson

Red Corner

Gabriel Bonfim

Blue Corner

+300

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-430

(81%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.0

Sig. Strikes

4.6

0.2

Takedowns

3.6

0.0

Sub Attempts

1.4

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+5.3-5.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+133.0-133.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-1.51.5

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.4-1.4

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.80.8

Stephen Thompson

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights21

Gabriel Bonfim

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7