Andrei ArlovskivsTom Aspinall

UFC Event · Saturday, February 20, 2021 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Tom Aspinall wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Tom Aspinall wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Andrei Arlovski

Red Corner

Tom Aspinall

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-265

(73%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'5"

195.58 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.6

Sig. Strikes

7.4

0.5

Takedowns

3.5

0.2

Sub Attempts

1.8

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-15.815.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-28.028.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.50.5

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.8-0.8

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Andrei Arlovski

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights27

Tom Aspinall

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights10