Matheus NicolauvsAsu Almabayev

UFC Event · Saturday, October 19, 2024 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Asu Almabayev wins(54.5%)

Actual result: Asu Almabayev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Matheus Nicolau

Red Corner

Asu Almabayev

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.3

Sig. Strikes

2.1

1.2

Takedowns

5.1

0.8

Sub Attempts

1.7

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+3.9-3.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+49.0-49.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-1.51.5

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.9-0.9

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.70.7

Matheus Nicolau

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11

Asu Almabayev

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7