Lightweight

3 Rounds

Elo1564

Elo1521

Benoit Saint DenisvsPaddy Pimblett

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Saturday, July 11, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Benoit Saint Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Benoit Saint Denis

Red Corner

Paddy Pimblett

Blue Corner

-139

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+116

(46%)

1564

Elo

1521

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

N/A

Height

N/A

Reach

N/A

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Benoit Saint DenisW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24

SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25

SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26

latest

Paddy Pimblett

oldest →

vs Jared Gordon · Dec 22

vs Tony Ferguson · Dec 23

SUBvs King Green · Jul 24

KOvs Michael Chandler · Apr 25

vs Justin Gaethje · Jan 26

latest

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)Paddy Pimblett(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +43.0|Blue -43.0

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Benoit Saint Denis

Odds

-139

Market-implied probability

Benoit Saint Denis 56%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Benoit Saint Denis (model pick · research)$172

Paddy Pimblett$216

56% market-implied · model 53% (research) · vufc_v5_pure_lightgbm_20260712_125850

🔒 Pick locked Jul 12, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC at -139 · never rewritten

Benoit Saint Denis

No profile data.

Paddy Pimblett

No profile data.