Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Result: Red · U-DEC R3
UN
MB
Umar NurmagomedovvsMario Bautista
UFC Event · Saturday, October 25, 2025 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Umar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Mario Bautista
Blue Corner
-620
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+460
(18%)
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
3.9
Sig. Strikes
5.3
4.0
Takedowns
1.9
0.2
Sub Attempts
0.8
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.637.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9
Mario Bautista
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14