SumudaerjivsJesus Aguilar

UFC Event · Saturday, March 7, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Sumudaerji wins(76.4%)

Actual result: Sumudaerji wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Sumudaerji

Red Corner

Jesus Aguilar

Blue Corner

-172

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+144

(41%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'4"

182.88 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.4

Sig. Strikes

2.5

0.7

Takedowns

1.5

0.5

Sub Attempts

1.1

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-40.140.1

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+21.0-21.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Sumudaerji

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights6

Jesus Aguilar

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights7