Drew DobervsRafael Alves

UFC Event · Saturday, July 30, 2022 · Dallas, Texas, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(56.8%)

Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Drew Dober

Red Corner

Rafael Alves

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.4

Sig. Strikes

1.9

0.7

Takedowns

0.3

0.1

Sub Attempts

1.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+55.3-55.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-119.0119.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.00.0

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.2-1.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Drew Dober

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26

Rafael Alves

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4