Conor McGregorvsNate Diaz

UFC Event · Saturday, March 5, 2016 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Conor McGregor wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Nate Diaz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Conor McGregor

Red Corner

Nate Diaz

Blue Corner

-425

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+340

(23%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

30.9

Sig. Strikes

46.0

0.7

Takedowns

0.7

0.0

Sub Attempts

1.1

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+73.2-73.2

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+7.0-7.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.6-0.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.60.6

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Conor McGregor

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Nate Diaz

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18