Carlos UlbergvsDominick Reyes

UFC Event · Saturday, September 27, 2025 · Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia

Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(62.8%)

Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Carlos Ulberg

Red Corner

Dominick Reyes

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'4"

Height

6'4"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

6.5

Sig. Strikes

5.4

0.6

Takedowns

0.3

0.2

Sub Attempts

0.3

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+35.9-35.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+21.0-21.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Carlos Ulberg

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights10

Dominick Reyes

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights13