Islam MakhachevvsThiago Moises

UFC Event · Saturday, July 17, 2021 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Islam Makhachev wins(75.8%)

Actual result: Islam Makhachev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Islam Makhachev

Red Corner

Thiago Moises

Blue Corner

-900

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+600

(14%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

2.2

Sig. Strikes

2.5

3.3

Takedowns

1.0

Sub Attempts

1.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+81.9-81.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-7.07.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.7-0.7

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Islam Makhachev

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights18

Thiago Moises

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15