Chase HoopervsLance Gibson Jr.

UFC Event · Saturday, March 28, 2026 · Seattle, Washington, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(77.0%)

Actual result: Lance Gibson Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Lance Gibson Jr.

Blue Corner

-280

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

6'1"

Height

5'9"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.5

Sig. Strikes

2.4

Takedowns

1.7

2.1

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+77.4-77.4

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+119.0-119.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+1.3-1.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Lance Gibson Jr.

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2