Jake MatthewsvsFrancisco Prado

UFC Event · Saturday, February 8, 2025 · Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia

Model Prediction: Jake Matthews wins(63.8%)

Actual result: Jake Matthews wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Jake Matthews

Red Corner

Francisco Prado

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.3

Sig. Strikes

4.1

1.4

Takedowns

0.9

0.8

Sub Attempts

0.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+96.3-96.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-98.098.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.8-0.8

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.9-0.9

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

Jake Matthews

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights23

Francisco Prado

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5