Julian ErosavsLerryan Douglas

UFC Event · Saturday, March 28, 2026 · Seattle, Washington, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Julian Erosa wins(53.7%)

Actual result: Lerryan Douglas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Julian Erosa

Red Corner

Lerryan Douglas

Blue Corner

+235

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-320

(76%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'9"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

6.2

Sig. Strikes

8.7

1.7

Takedowns

0.0

0.7

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+33.1-33.1

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-49.049.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-49.549.5

Julian Erosa

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights18

Lerryan Douglas

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights1