Raphael AssuncaovsBryan Caraway

UFC Event · Saturday, October 4, 2014 · Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada

Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(64.0%)

Actual result: Raphael Assuncao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Raphael Assuncao

Red Corner

Bryan Caraway

Blue Corner

-450

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+400

(20%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

43.9

Sig. Strikes

24.2

1.3

Takedowns

2.6

0.3

Sub Attempts

1.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+30.3-30.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+105.0-105.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.5-0.5

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.40.4

Raphael Assuncao

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights19

Bryan Caraway

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10