Nate DiazvsTony Ferguson

UFC Event · Saturday, September 10, 2022 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Nate Diaz wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Nate Diaz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Nate Diaz

Red Corner

Tony Ferguson

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.6

Sig. Strikes

4.9

1.1

Takedowns

0.4

1.3

Sub Attempts

0.9

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-90.990.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+329.0-329.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Nate Diaz

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18

Tony Ferguson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights24