Thiago MoisesvsMelquizael Costa

UFC Event · Saturday, January 21, 2023 · Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil

Model Prediction: Thiago Moises wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Thiago Moises wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Thiago Moises

Red Corner

Melquizael Costa

Blue Corner

-365

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

2.4

Sig. Strikes

3.5

1.5

Takedowns

2.5

1.3

Sub Attempts

1.1

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+32.2-32.2

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-49.649.6

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-49.549.5

Thiago Moises

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15

Melquizael Costa

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9