Ilia TopuriavsCharles Oliveira

UFC Event · Saturday, June 28, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Ilia Topuria wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Ilia Topuria wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Ilia Topuria

Red Corner

Charles Oliveira

Blue Corner

-405

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+320

(24%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.8

Sig. Strikes

3.2

2.0

Takedowns

2.3

1.1

Sub Attempts

2.6

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-60.360.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+21.0-21.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.7-0.7

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.70.7

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

Ilia Topuria

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9

Charles Oliveira

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights36