Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Elo1516
Elo1502
Magomed AnkalaevvsKhalil Rountree Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Style matchup
Scouting Report
- Magomed Ankalaev is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Magomed Ankalaev has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Magomed Ankalaev has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Magomed Ankalaev
Khalil Rountree Jr.
-325
Vegas Odds
+245
1516
1502
34
36
Orthodox
Southpaw
6'3"
6'1"
190.5 cm
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Magomed Ankalaev
oldest →
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 22
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25
latestKhalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Magomed AnkalaevMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.
3.65
Strikes / min
3.88
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.00
87%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Magomed AnkalaevKhalil Rountree Jr.
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
The Pick
Vegas favorite
Magomed Ankalaev
Odds
-325
Market-implied probability
Magomed Ankalaev 73%
Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.
$100 bet returns
Magomed Ankalaev (model pick · research)$131
Khalil Rountree Jr.$345
73% market-implied · model 68% (research) · vufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615
🔒 Pick locked Jul 15, 2026, 5:57 AM UTC at -325 · never rewritten
Magomed Ankalaev
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Khalil Rountree Jr.
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17