Middleweight
3 Rounds
Vicente Luque won · Submission R1
Elo1503
Elo1490
Kelvin GastelumvsVicente Luque
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(59.5%)
Scouting Report
- Vicente Luque has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kelvin Gastelum
Vicente Luque
—
Vegas Odds
—
1503
1490
34
34
Southpaw
Orthodox
5'9"
5'11"
180.34 cm
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25
latestVicente Luque
oldest →
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Kelvin GastelumMetricVicente Luque
3.65
Strikes / min
4.80
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
5.24
57%
Strike defense
51%
1.04
TDs / 15 min
0.89
60%
Takedown defense
59%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Kelvin GastelumVicente Luque
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23