Welterweight
5 Rounds
Carlos Prates won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1524
Elo1551
Jack Della MaddalenavsCarlos Prates
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Jack Della Maddalena wins(54.6%)
Scouting Report
- Carlos Prates is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jack Della Maddalena has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Jack Della Maddalena has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Carlos Prates has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jack Della Maddalena
Carlos Prates
—
Vegas Odds
—
1524
1551
29
32
Switch
Switch
5'11"
6'1"
185.42 cm
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Jack Della Maddalena
oldest →
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24
vs Belal Muhammad · May 25
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25
latestCarlos Prates
oldest →
KOvs Li Jingliang · Aug 24
KOvs Neil Magny · Nov 24
vs Ian Machado Garry · Apr 25
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 25
KOvs Leon Edwards · Nov 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Jack Della MaddalenaMetricCarlos Prates
5.32
Strikes / min
4.41
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.30
61%
Strike defense
47%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.18
64%
Takedown defense
77%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Jack Della MaddalenaCarlos Prates
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Jack Della Maddalena
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9
Carlos Prates
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7