Israel AdesanyavsJoe Pyfer

UFC Event · Saturday, March 28, 2026 · Seattle, Washington, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Israel Adesanya wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Joe Pyfer wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Israel Adesanya

Red Corner

Joe Pyfer

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+102

(50%)

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'2"

203.2 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.0

Sig. Strikes

3.5

0.1

Takedowns

1.4

0.1

Sub Attempts

0.9

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+36.0-36.0

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+245.0-245.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-1.61.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.0-1.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.40.4

Israel Adesanya

StanceSwitch

Height76.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights19

Joe Pyfer

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8