Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Result: Red · S-DEC R3
CE
MW
Carla EsparzavsMichelle Waterson
UFC Event · Saturday, May 9, 2020 · Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Carla Esparza wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Carla Esparza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Carla Esparza
Red Corner
VS
Michelle Waterson
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
2.2
Sig. Strikes
3.4
3.5
Takedowns
1.9
0.3
Sub Attempts
1.2
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.314.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Carla Esparza
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights15
Michelle Waterson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3