Derek BrunsonvsRoan Carneiro

UFC Event · Sunday, February 21, 2016 · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Derek Brunson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Derek Brunson

Red Corner

Roan Carneiro

Blue Corner

-365

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+305

(25%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

21.7

Sig. Strikes

13.5

1.8

Takedowns

2.7

0.5

Sub Attempts

1.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+52.8-52.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-161.0161.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.40.4

Derek Brunson

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights21

Roan Carneiro

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4