Derrick LewisvsSerghei Spivac

UFC Event · Saturday, February 4, 2023 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(55.0%)

Actual result: Serghei Spivac wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Derrick Lewis

Red Corner

Serghei Spivac

Blue Corner

+255

(28%)

Vegas Odds

-305

(75%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

200.66 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

2.5

Sig. Strikes

3.5

0.6

Takedowns

4.6

0.0

Sub Attempts

0.7

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+48.1-48.1

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+7.0-7.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-1.11.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.8-0.8

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.70.7

Derrick Lewis

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights31

Serghei Spivac

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15