Rafael NatalvsTim Boetsch

UFC Event · Saturday, November 12, 2016 · New York City, New York, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Tim Boetsch wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Tim Boetsch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Natal

Red Corner

Tim Boetsch

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

42.5

Sig. Strikes

27.7

2.4

Takedowns

1.1

0.5

Sub Attempts

0.6

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+45.9-45.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+81.0-81.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

Rafael Natal

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights16

Tim Boetsch

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights20