Flyweight
3 Rounds
Steve Erceg won · Decision R3
Elo1511
Elo1502
Tim ElliottvsSteve Erceg
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Steve Erceg wins(60.9%)
Tale of the Tape
Tim Elliott
Steve Erceg
—
Vegas Odds
—
1511
1502
39
30
Southpaw
Orthodox
5'7"
5'8"
167.64 cm
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Tim Elliott
oldest →
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25
latestSteve Erceg
oldest →
KOvs Matt Schnell · Mar 24
vs Alexandre Pantoja · May 24
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Aug 24
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 25
vs Ode Osbourne · Aug 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Tim ElliottMetricSteve Erceg
3.51
Strikes / min
4.64
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
56%
Strike defense
55%
3.61
TDs / 15 min
1.13
59%
Takedown defense
67%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Tim ElliottSteve Erceg
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Tim Elliott
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21
Steve Erceg
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7