Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jonathan Micallef won · Decision R3
Elo1532
Elo1509
Jonathan MicallefvsThemba Gorimbo
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Jonathan Micallef wins(53.5%)
Tale of the Tape
Jonathan Micallef
Themba Gorimbo
—
Vegas Odds
—
1532
1509
27
35
Southpaw
Orthodox
6'0"
6'1"
195.58 cm
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Jonathan Micallef
oldest →
vs Kevin Jousset · Feb 25
SUBvs Oban Elliott · Jan 26
latestThemba Gorimbo
oldest →
KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Feb 24
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24
vs Niko Price · Oct 24
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 24
vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Jonathan MicallefMetricThemba Gorimbo
3.85
Strikes / min
2.70
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
56%
Strike defense
51%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
4.52
66%
Takedown defense
73%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MicallefThemba Gorimbo
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
EVEN
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Jonathan Micallef
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2
Themba Gorimbo
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7