Middleweight
3 Rounds
Wes Schultz won · Submission R3
Elo—
Elo1478
Ben JohnstonvsWes Schultz
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Ben Johnston wins(56.0%)
Scouting Report
- Wes Schultz has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ben Johnston has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ben Johnston
Wes Schultz
—
Vegas Odds
—
N/A
1478
35
29
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'4"
6'1"
193.04 cm
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Ben Johnston
Wes Schultz
oldest →
KOvs Damian Pinas · Feb 26
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Ben JohnstonMetricWes Schultz
1.01
Strikes / min
2.91
1.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.11
29%
Strike defense
43%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
2.39
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
3.60
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Ben JohnstonWes Schultz
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Ben Johnston
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights0
Wes Schultz
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights1