Darren ElkinsvsJulian Erosa

UFC Event · Saturday, April 12, 2025 · Miami, Florida, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Julian Erosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Darren Elkins

Red Corner

Julian Erosa

Blue Corner

+230

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-280

(74%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

6'1"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.4

Sig. Strikes

6.2

2.9

Takedowns

1.7

1.1

Sub Attempts

0.7

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+53.8-53.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-98.098.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.0-0.0

Darren Elkins

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights30

Julian Erosa

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights18