Miguel BaezavsMatt Brown

UFC Event · Saturday, May 16, 2020 · Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(53.6%)

Actual result: Miguel Baeza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Miguel Baeza

Red Corner

Matt Brown

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.8

Sig. Strikes

3.8

0.5

Takedowns

1.6

1.1

Sub Attempts

1.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-35.435.4

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+63.0-63.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-1.51.5

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Miguel Baeza

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7

Matt Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights25