Rafael NatalvsTom Watson

UFC Event · Saturday, January 31, 2015 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Rafael Natal wins(60.2%)

Actual result: Rafael Natal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Natal

Red Corner

Tom Watson

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

195.58 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

37.2

Sig. Strikes

57.8

2.1

Takedowns

0.0

0.6

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+48.5-48.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-20.020.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.90.9

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.5-0.5

Rafael Natal

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights16

Tom Watson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7