Rafael NatalvsKevin Casey

UFC Event · Saturday, January 30, 2016 · Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Rafael Natal wins(62.7%)

Actual result: Rafael Natal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Natal

Red Corner

Kevin Casey

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'11"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

40.1

Sig. Strikes

17.5

2.5

Takedowns

0.3

0.5

Sub Attempts

0.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+65.2-65.2

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+53.0-53.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.4-1.4

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

Rafael Natal

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights16

Kevin Casey

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4