Demian MaiavsGunnar Nelson

UFC Event · Saturday, December 12, 2015 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Gunnar Nelson wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Demian Maia

Red Corner

Gunnar Nelson

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

6'1"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

21.2

Sig. Strikes

23.2

2.4

Takedowns

1.0

0.9

Sub Attempts

0.8

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+17.0-17.0

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-21.021.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.00.0

Demian Maia

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights26

Gunnar Nelson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights16