Gunnar NelsonvsGilbert Burns

UFC Event · Saturday, September 28, 2019 · Copenhagen, Denmark, Denmark

Model Prediction: Gunnar Nelson wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Gunnar Nelson

Red Corner

Gilbert Burns

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

1.7

Sig. Strikes

3.1

1.7

Takedowns

2.4

0.9

Sub Attempts

0.7

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-26.826.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+147.0-147.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.80.8

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Gunnar Nelson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights16

Gilbert Burns

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights24