Tony FergusonvsJustin Gaethje

UFC Event · Saturday, May 9, 2020 · Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Justin Gaethje wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Justin Gaethje wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Tony Ferguson

Red Corner

Justin Gaethje

Blue Corner

-180

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+158

(39%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

5.8

Sig. Strikes

8.6

0.6

Takedowns

0.0

1.4

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+155.6-155.6

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+98.0-98.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-2.32.3

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

Tony Ferguson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights24

Justin Gaethje

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15