Nate ManessvsUmar Nurmagomedov

UFC Event · Saturday, June 25, 2022 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Nate Maness wins(55.5%)

Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Nate Maness

Red Corner

Umar Nurmagomedov

Blue Corner

+650

(13%)

Vegas Odds

-950

(90%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.1

Sig. Strikes

4.5

0.7

Takedowns

4.0

0.7

Sub Attempts

0.4

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+13.3-13.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+168.0-168.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.00.0

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.00.0

Nate Maness

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7

Umar Nurmagomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9