Max HollowayvsDustin Poirier

UFC Event · Saturday, July 19, 2025 · New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Max Holloway

Red Corner

Dustin Poirier

Blue Corner

-122

(55%)

Vegas Odds

-104

(51%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

6.9

Sig. Strikes

5.2

0.2

Takedowns

1.1

0.3

Sub Attempts

1.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+1.6-1.6

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-147.0147.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.4-0.4

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

Max Holloway

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights32

Dustin Poirier

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights31