Drew DobervsMichael Johnson

UFC Event · Saturday, March 7, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Drew Dober

Red Corner

Michael Johnson

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+168

(37%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.5

Sig. Strikes

4.3

0.6

Takedowns

0.6

0.1

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+3.5-3.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-91.091.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.80.8

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.60.6

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Drew Dober

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26

Michael Johnson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights32