Middleweight

3 Rounds

Elo1523

Elo1506

Damian PinasvsCesar Almeida

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Saturday, July 11, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Tale of the Tape

Damian Pinas

Red Corner

Cesar Almeida

Blue Corner

-256

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+208

(32%)

1523

Elo

1506

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

N/A

Height

N/A

Reach

N/A

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damian Pinas

oldest →

KOvs Wes Schultz · Feb 26

latest

Cesar Almeida

oldest →

KOvs Dylan Budka · Apr 24

vs Roman Kopylov · Jun 24

vs Ihor Potieria · Oct 24

KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jan 25

vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk · Dec 25

latest

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Damian Pinas(1 fights)Cesar Almeida(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.2|Blue -16.2

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Damian Pinas

Odds

-256

Market-implied probability

Damian Pinas 69%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Damian Pinas (model pick · research)$139

Cesar Almeida$308

69% market-implied · model 52% (research) · vufc_v5_pure_lightgbm_20260712_125850

🔒 Pick locked Jul 12, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC at -256 · never rewritten

Damian Pinas

No profile data.

Cesar Almeida

No profile data.