Lightweight
3 Rounds
Result: Blue · U-DEC R3
MR
CD
Mateusz RebeckivsChris Duncan
UFC Event · Saturday, August 2, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chris Duncan wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Chris Duncan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Mateusz Rebecki
Red Corner
VS
Chris Duncan
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+198
(34%)
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
5.2
Sig. Strikes
5.0
3.4
Takedowns
3.3
0.5
Sub Attempts
0.7
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Mateusz Rebecki
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7
Chris Duncan
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8