Matt BrownvsJake Ellenberger

UFC Event · Saturday, July 30, 2016 · Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(74.7%)

Actual result: Jake Ellenberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Matt Brown

Red Corner

Jake Ellenberger

Blue Corner

-310

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

35.0

Sig. Strikes

21.9

1.1

Takedowns

1.4

1.1

Sub Attempts

0.3

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+35.6-35.6

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-105.0105.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.5-0.5

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.00.0

Matt Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights25

Jake Ellenberger

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights19