Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Brady threatens submissions; Kelvin Gastelum has lost 30% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Brady
oldest →W
vs Michael Chiesa · Nov 21L
KOvs Belal Muhammad · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24W
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25 Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →L
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 21W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean BradyKelvin Gastelum
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Brady(10 fights)Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.6|Blue -15.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage