Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Thomson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nate Diaz (53.5%).
- Nate Diaz has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate Diaz
oldest →L
vs Conor McGregor · Aug 16W
vs Anthony Pettis · Aug 19L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 19L
vs Leon Edwards · Jun 21W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Sep 22 Josh ThomsonL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Benson Henderson · Jan 14L
vs Tony Ferguson · Jul 15 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nate DiazJosh Thomson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Diaz(10 fights)Josh Thomson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +40.1|Blue -40.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage