Lightweight
3 Rounds
Result: Blue · SUB R1
JD
JA
Joe DuffyvsJoel Alvarez
UFC Event · Saturday, July 18, 2020 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Joel Alvarez wins(66.1%)
Actual result: Joel Alvarez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Joe Duffy
Red Corner
VS
Joel Alvarez
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
2.6
Sig. Strikes
2.5
0.8
Takedowns
0.0
0.8
Sub Attempts
0.0
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.4-16.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Joe Duffy
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Joel Alvarez
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10