Jake MatthewsvsMatthew Semelsberger

UFC Event · Saturday, December 17, 2022 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Jake Matthews wins(67.2%)

Actual result: Matthew Semelsberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Jake Matthews

Red Corner

Matthew Semelsberger

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.4

Sig. Strikes

3.8

1.6

Takedowns

1.0

0.6

Sub Attempts

0.4

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+56.5-56.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+49.0-49.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.6-0.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.1-1.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

0.00.0

Jake Matthews

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights23

Matthew Semelsberger

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11